28.08.2019
 Technology Outlook Essay

Technology forecasting is considered to be vital in the current business environment. There have been various success stories along with failures. Forecasting technology affects many aspects by acquiring a new technology to developing a new-technology. The study course will start with reviewing a lot of methodologies then will examine those effects and how to get them to beneficial for the organizations through many circumstance studies, professional and exploration articles. Case Studies happen to be selected coming from Harvard Business School Circumstance Studies. Articles are selected from periodicals such as Technology Forecasting and Social Change.

GRADING AND DELIVERABLES

Specific Deliverable

Cases (team – in class)30%Presentations

Job (team)40%Paper + Presentation

Blood pressure measurements (individual)30%2 content discussions

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL100%

RULES FOR GIFTS

CASES – Cases will be analyzed and presented in class by clubs. You should go through and have yourself familiar with the case before the course, READINGS – You will be assigned 2 articles to discuss in the lecture. PROJECT – Identify an emerging technology as a team and develop a forecast using Technology Forecasting Equipment. Examples of such projects will be provided. Your team is necessary to present the progress and results of your project throughout the scheduled instances in class. Progress presentations probably should not exceed twenty minutes as well as the final business presentation will be limited to 45 minutes. Additionally you will need to fill in a report which should follow TFSC journal recommendations for a log paper. Your report includes a books search justifying the topic and methods used. CASES

1 . Strategic Preparing at United Parcel Service, David A. Garvin, Lynne C. Levesque, Product#: 306002 2 . Forecasting the Ownership of a Cool product, Elie Ofek, Product#: 505062 - AND - Forecasting the Re-homing of E-Books, Elie Ofek, Peter Wickersham, Product Number: 9-505-063 3. Illinois Superconductor Corp.: Forecasting Demand for Superconducting Filters, Mohanbir Sawhney, Lisa Damkroger, Greg McGuirk, Julie Milbratz, John Rountree, Product#: KEL096

READINGS

Introduction to Technology Forecasting

1 . Linstone, H. A., TFSC: 1969-1999. Technological Foretelling of and Cultural Change, Quantity 62, Concerns 1-2, August-September 1999, Webpages 1-8. 2 . Ayres, R. U., What have we learned? Technological Forecasting and Social Modify, Volume 62, Issues 1-2, August-September 1999, Pages 9-12. 3. Martino, J. P., Thirty years of change and stability. Scientific Forecasting and Social Transform, Volume sixty two, Issues 1-2, August-September 99, Pages 13-18. 4. Assurer, A. M., Tech predicting an scientific perspective. Technological Forecasting and Social Transform, Volume 62, Issues 1-2, August-September 99, Pages 19-28. 5. Linstone, H. A., The 21st century: Everyman because Faust – technology, terrorism, and the multiple perspectives strategy. Technological Predicting and Social Change, Amount 70, Issue 3, March 2003, Internet pages 283-296.

Technology Forecasting Methods

6. Mishra, Somnath, S. G Deshmukh and Prem Vrat, Corresponding of scientific forecasting way to a technology, Technological Foretelling of and Cultural Change, Amount 69, Concern 1, January 2002, Pages 1-27. 7. Technology Futures Analysis Strategies Working Group, Technology futures and options analysis: Toward integration from the field and new methods, Technological Predicting and Sociable Change, Quantity 71, Issue 3, March 2004, Pages 287-303. almost eight. Silberglitt, Ur., Hove, A., and Shulman, P., Analysis of US energy scenarios: Meta-scenarios, pathways, and policy implications. Technological Forecasting and Interpersonal Change, Amount 70, Issue 4, Might 2003, Webpages 297-315. on the lookout for. Rowe, G. and G. Wright, The Delphi approach as a predicting tool: Issues and research, International Journal of Forecasting, Volume 12-15, Issue four, October 99, Pages 353-375. 10. Ardore Börjeson, Mattias Höjer, Karl-Henrik Dreborg, Tomas...